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Uneven Recovery: A Look Back at Minnesota’s Housing Crisis

April 23, 2014 By Lee Egerstrom, Economic Development Fellow and Leigh Rosenberg, Minnesota Housing Partnership

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An uneven recovery is unfolding in Minnesota five years after the housing collapse this joint Minnesota Housing Partnership - Minnesota 2020 study finds. While a modest recovery is under way for middle- and upper-income homeowners, there's been virtually no recovery for those with more limited means, especially renters.

Renters at the lowest end of the income scale were especially hard hit by the crash. First, the housing market collapse pushed rental housing construction to historic lows, just as tens of thousands of foreclosed homeowners flooded the rental market. This created a statewide rental shortage. In Greater Minnesota, where rental housing was already in short-supply and often in need of repair, lower income renters have found decent housing that fits within their budgets hard to come by.

The Minnesota Homes for All alliance is calling on lawmakers to pass $100 million bonding to build and preserve affordable rental housing, rehabilitate abandon and foreclosed homes, and upgrade public housing units.

Here are some highlights from the report:

Urban Wealth Loss

In low-income urban areas, families seeking the American dream lost wealth and homes. Unlucky renters living in properties owned by investors also lost when their homes went into foreclosure. While median home values in the urban communities examined in this report are higher than they were in 2011, on average, neighborhoods in North Minneapolis, St. Paul’s Eastside and Frogtown have lost 57 percent in median home value from the 2005-2006 peak.

Moving to the Exurbs

Exurban communities are seeing a fairly mixed recovery. We took the closest look at Albertville and St. Michael, which are back from the deepest depths of the housing crash, recovering 21 and 15 percent respectively from their 2011 lows. However, median home values are still roughly 33 percent below their 2005-2006 heights.

Exurban communities experienced especially high mortgage foreclosure rates, with Isanti, Sherburne, and Chisago counties comprising three of the top four respectively in average countywide foreclosure rates between 2005 and 2012.

A View from the Countryside

Greater Minnesota’s housing recovery tells distinct stories depending on location and industrial ties. For many, the worst is over. A few pockets, however, were generally immune to the Great Recession. Southern Minnesota towns largely avoided a housing crash because their economies were tied to agriculture, which remained strong in the economic downturn.

Those areas hard hit in northern Minnesota that we will be featuring—Bemidji, Baxter and Brainerd—all experienced sharp declines in median home prices, with mixed but generally modest recoveries by 2013.

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  • Mike Downing says:

    April 23, 2014 at 9:58 am

    There is a problem with reports on the uneven recovery, income inequality, etc. That problem is they measure only outcomes which is easy. They are intended to tug at our emotions and say “isn’t this bad?” and “we should do something about this”, i.e income redistribution. They do not attempt to analyze cause/effect relationships. They do not identify dependent and independent variables that produce the effect/outcome.

    Most of these outcomes can be traced back to the level of education and the field of education & skills. Of course, this would result in a conclusion that we must take individual responsibility for our own outcome. This is a conclusion that liberal progressives do not want anyone to make. One would need to think far too deeply to do this and would not accept the nose ring to be led around with.

    • Dan Conner says:

      April 27, 2014 at 10:02 pm

      Mike, your analysis isn’t fact laden.  In fact it isn’t a study of the “why’s” of outcomes.  It’s a rationale for the status quo.  It almost reads like, “my ox hasdn’t been gored, so let’s not do anything.”  Then, you use your entire fact-free rationale to come up with polyannish solution of: take individual responsibility. 

      I can tell you are a Fox News watcher because you fail to analyze anything.  You simply invent your reason to point a finger of blame at the poor and then back in a rationale explaining it, making sure it is the fault of the poor.  I would suggest that Mike actually invest some research and unprejudiced study into the issue of income distribution and then come up with a meaningful and beneficial solution.  Your analysis and solution are simplistic and shallow.